Please DO NOT spread information without a SOLID basis to conclude it from. Based on JTWC reports, the current wind velocities are between 35-45 knots lang. The maximum forecast winds within 24 hours are 50 knots. While there is a chance of increasing, this predicted force is MUCH lower than the entry values of Pedring and Quiel.
In short, let's not JUMP into conclusions about intensity/force--just be prepared--that's all that matters.
-RODION
I'm not. And here's a solid basis (below). Additionally, what I was referring to was the location where it is most likely to pass (60 km north of cebu city) and not the intensity. If this one will become a typhoon and will be much weaker than Pedring and Quiel, then that's good.
Forecast Positions/Outlook:
Tuesday evening:
130 km Southwest of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur
Wednesday evening:
60 km North of Cebu City
Thursday evening:
60 km Northwest of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro
Source: Weather Branch Homepage
Let's break down your response to SAIDOX's post:
Basin bai.
Now, a storm's signal is based on STRENGTH, NOT PATH.
Yet you present a PATH as a basis for you saying nga "basin bai", rather than the strength. Where is your strength/wind velocity data, to back up your "basin" statement?
Even if this TD (it's STILL a TD as of this moment) will pass directly over Cebu City, yet wind velocities wouldn't exceed 50 kts, then Signal #3 will NOT be raised, because again, signal is determined by wind velocity, not PATH.
-RODION
so are we expecting more heavy rains later hon?
bang....paksita ani oi....ting-trabaho pa gyud....hipos napod ang motor ani....ang baha ug trapik napod sugamakon ani....
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